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nfl spread picks

nfl spread picks

The 2008 season was an unexpected start for 2 teams playing this coming weekend: the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills.

Bills, of course, crushed the Seahawks their first home game in which bettors consider a currency against the spread going into the match.

Jacksonville, however, was a major disappointment in his first game, the Titans fell to 17.10 despite being a 3-point favorite on the road.

This will be the world of football own right in Week 2? Are the Jaguars regain their playoff form playoffs in 2007 and reveal the bills to be a contender at the beginning of the season in the battle for the blow open the AFC East crown? Not so fast, I say, there are several trends at work in this game that seems to favor a continuation of what we saw in the Week 1.

Reason # 1
This trend is as fundamental as they come, but it's a fact: teams find a great triumph Su (de> 21 points) at week 1 is a dynamite 22.12 ATS in week 2 and 2.1 ATS in 2007. When a team starts the season on a roll of the dynamics of their lives normally, at least until week 2 anyway.

Reason # 2
The reason the Bills 2nd look pretty good this week arises from a situation in favor of teams coming off a mediocre to bad season, which also drew some interesting figures on the ground in Week 1 or Week 2 of the year next.

Such logic is this: Since 1994, Road Favs (or way of dogs, are a blistering 68-20 ATS on the number.

It seems fairly clear that teams in this situation have made some noticeable improvements, but probably still underestimated by a skeptical public of Paris putting too much emphasis on his performance last season.

Reason # 3
I touched the yards running over and here is another trend which also depends on how a team is currently running the ball.

Here are the details:

Associated with a big rush of% (F% BRY)> 50% and a work of performance against Penalty Reserve (PSSP) on average, also have a% Success Running Play (F% SRP) at least 2.5 points than their opponents, are a big 127-59 ATS since 2001 and were 32-11 ATS in 2006 alone.

Currently, Buffalo has a BRY% F 50.5%, ie more than half of its rainfall arrived last week short of 10 + yards, while his HPSP RPS is currently 0.0% and F is an excellent 42.9%, compared with SRP F% Jacksonville 37.5%.

All this adds punishment Additional Jaguars in 2 weeks or at least a highly competitive game is reduced to the last minute field goal decision on which bills will prevail ATS anyway.

Now, thanks to this article is 3 reasons, I abstain describe a new trend to work for Buffalo this week, but visiting my site and then of the "relationship includes Office Pool ', you can read this page 6 additional leaves game packages for this game.

Percent Confidence in Buffalo this week to cover it: 63%

About the Author:

Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and winning selections versus the spread, visit his site at

Article Source: ArticlesBase.comNfl Game Analysis: 3 Reasons to Bet on Buffalo (+6) in Week 2

Week 8 NFL Spread Picks!

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